Increasingly infrequently do I post or comment on political(1) opinions on social media. Largely because the tenor of our times, I feel, I fear is über-contentious. Hence, I do not wish to risk exacerbating what I perceive to be our already competing and conflicting, at times, combative personal political tensions.
That said, after two nights of debates(2) of the candidates for the 2020 presidential nomination of the Democratic Party, I awoke this morning, with a thought, really, a question
But, first, I share my political self-definition. Given the complexities of individual human nature, I do not believe that anyone’s political views can be captured by pithy titles, but rather require paragraphs of explication. Nevertheless, I am a social-policy progressive/liberal and a fiscal-policy conservative. I also am a registered Democrat who, generally, votes for Democratic Party candidates.
Now, although recognizing it’s still early, perhaps, too early in the proverbial electoral day, my thought/question: Has Donald Trump won re-election as the President of the United States?
The primary reasons for my query are three.
1: A central program proposal of nearly all the (and, certainly, the current opinion poll-leading) Democratic Party candidates is universal health care. This, I think, is something within the scope of our human/American desire to conceive, to imagine. However, because of a number of factors, among them, the economic costs (read: higher taxes), I do not think that it is within the range of our human/American will to do, to enact. This is another way of saying that I do not believe the general personality of the nation’s electorate is as left on the political spectrum as support for this program would require. And this is another way of saying that I believe the American people, communally, are more center-right than center-left (and certainly not far-left).
2: The compulsory role (and, therefore, influence) of the Electoral College notwithstanding, Mr. Trump has proven that he can be elected with less than a majority of the popular vote.
3: Mr. Trump’s base support of voters remains solidly in his favor.
My opinion aside (which, of course, is neither a fact nor, depending on one’s point of view, even my own, especially knowledgeable), whatever transpires, of this I am certain. It will be an interesting 493 days until Election Day, Tuesday, November 3, 2020.
(1) By “political,” here, I do not mean the act and art of the commerce of human relations, which, I believe, is the broadest, truest sense of the term. Rather, more narrowly, I mean the activities and structures, positions and persons associated with the exercise of governance.
(2) Wednesday, June 26, and Thursday, June 27, 2019